Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.039234 0.045707 0.052825 0.061221 0.070841 0.081507 0.094214
2025-08-03 0.029346 0.037748 0.047844 0.060818 0.076995 0.096441 0.121529
2025-08-10 0.022202 0.031175 0.042829 0.058960 0.080585 0.108425 0.146812
2025-08-17 0.017383 0.026403 0.038956 0.057509 0.083998 0.120174 0.172974
2025-08-24 0.014294 0.023296 0.036622 0.057489 0.088972 0.134228 0.203592
2025-08-31 0.011616 0.020221 0.033710 0.055989 0.091339 0.144567 0.229821
2025-09-07 0.010341 0.019081 0.033489 0.058418 0.099736 0.164483 0.272158
2025-09-14 0.008879 0.017334 0.031966 0.058435 0.104163 0.178572 0.306767
2025-09-21 0.007452 0.015373 0.029741 0.056874 0.105651 0.187920 0.334484
2025-09-28 0.006422 0.013952 0.028227 0.056286 0.108616 0.199838 0.367409
2025-10-05 0.006021 0.013689 0.028795 0.059532 0.118701 0.224802 0.424869
2025-10-12 0.005542 0.013175 0.028791 0.061656 0.126896 0.247121 0.479596
2025-10-19 0.004756 0.011881 0.027079 0.060276 0.128427 0.257807 0.514905
2025-10-26 0.004156 0.010892 0.025849 0.059700 0.131455 0.271569 0.557260
2025-11-02 0.003541 0.009749 0.024105 0.057790 0.131529 0.279641 0.589502
2025-11-09 0.003051 0.008810 0.022666 0.056325 0.132317 0.289119 0.625273
2025-11-16 0.002719 0.008209 0.021913 0.056285 0.136123 0.304971 0.675107
2025-11-23 0.002352 0.007438 0.020624 0.054805 0.136542 0.313810 0.711308
2025-11-30 0.002225 0.007312 0.020924 0.057182 0.145981 0.342569 0.791610
2025-12-07 0.002001 0.006858 0.020305 0.057195 0.149899 0.359715 0.848545
2025-12-14 0.001741 0.006237 0.019145 0.055665 0.149935 0.368255 0.887437
2025-12-21 0.001550 0.005792 0.018392 0.055088 0.152225 0.382051 0.939111
2025-12-28 0.001507 0.005826 0.019002 0.058269 0.164291 0.419393 1.047022